Test smarter. Trade with confidence.
Plain-English guides to testing trading strategies: why backtests fail, how to judge results, and how long to test before you risk real money.
Why most backtested strategies fail live
Backtests often look far better than live results. Here are the six most common reasons and how to protect yourself before you risk real money.
5 min readWin rate vs profit factor: what actually makes a strategy profitable
A high win rate can still lose money, and a 40% win rate can be very profitable. Learn expectancy, profit factor and the break-even win rate.
5 min readCurve-fitting explained: how to spot an over-optimized strategy
Curve-fitting makes a strategy look perfect on past data and fail live. Learn the warning signs and simple tests to catch it.
5 min readHow long should you paper trade a strategy before going live?
There is no magic number of days. Learn why trade count and market variety matter more, and a practical checklist for when a strategy is ready.
4 min readBacktesting vs forward testing: what is the difference?
Backtesting shows what would have happened. Forward testing shows what is happening now. Learn how to use both to test a trading strategy properly.
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